Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 150.940466 172.762951 197.131574 226.450368 260.885887 300.189568 348.648086
2025-11-09 121.358379 149.766522 184.364385 229.953794 288.965776 363.480240 465.815181
2025-11-16 102.905533 133.764774 173.689852 229.814733 307.776408 413.881115 572.062260
2025-11-23 89.929280 121.789324 165.039421 229.099408 323.387255 459.992692 678.373129
2025-11-30 80.984376 113.586284 159.711956 231.212468 341.969926 511.680443 800.807020
2025-12-07 71.129299 102.654813 148.795521 223.068627 343.156377 536.122094 883.398898
2025-12-14 64.414797 95.443394 142.304555 220.443729 351.995528 573.196863 992.991876
2025-12-21 60.007486 91.169586 139.666729 223.332766 369.851266 627.485306 1143.044638
2025-12-28 57.574721 89.662564 141.108092 232.930806 400.256729 708.209337 1359.197911
2026-01-04 54.615651 86.957711 140.216477 238.252699 423.522155 779.190991 1570.707452
2026-01-11 50.765056 82.378634 135.652814 236.380840 432.904046 824.521084 1737.095954
2026-01-18 48.525209 80.306572 135.160442 241.819093 457.015489 903.185319 1995.648558
2026-01-25 45.619953 77.126966 132.944631 244.866013 479.234499 987.197124 2302.789693
2026-02-01 43.039018 74.317257 131.185607 248.781447 504.465585 1084.330697 2676.163951
2026-02-08 40.232545 70.797714 127.680206 248.632950 520.801775 1164.428846 3030.252199
2026-02-15 37.660728 67.454186 124.126423 247.850173 535.507218 1243.692811 3408.661920
2026-02-22 35.689529 65.058739 122.158089 250.163080 557.804253 1347.041271 3896.516422
2026-03-01 32.776053 60.563799 115.508899 241.250630 551.401522 1373.405322 4148.454343
2026-03-08 30.730478 57.612327 111.736317 238.378919 559.663880 1441.999170 4569.487705
2026-03-15 29.414711 56.013864 110.627163 241.539631 584.057672 1562.434191 5224.959861
2026-03-22 28.813878 55.823494 112.494080 252.044137 630.024406 1758.939818 6259.068512
2026-03-29 27.863014 54.812576 112.457760 257.871170 664.236154 1928.305449 7268.969264
2026-04-05 26.393263 52.571669 109.456287 255.821437 675.558114 2026.299645 8020.922839